Stop Looking for Unbiased Advice. Start Looking for Aligned Advice.

Everyone advising you how to invest sits on a payoff structure that shapes what they say. The question is not whether they are biased — everyone is. The question is which direction the bias runs, and whether it points toward your interest or away from it. Cynicism is not a strategy. When you opt out of all advice, you do not escape the payoff structure — you just hide whose interest you have defaulted to.

You already know something is off. Your broker pushes certain funds. Your distributor calls every time a new NFO opens. The sense that everyone trying to help you invest is also trying to extract something from you, and that sense is correct.

But the conclusion most people draw from it is wrong.

“Everyone has a vested interest, so I’ll trust no one” sounds like a reasonable response. It is not. Cynicism is not a strategy. When you opt out of all advice, you do not escape the payoff structure. You just hide whose interest you have defaulted to. The money sitting in a savings account earning 3% nominal has a beneficiary. The portfolio you have not rebalanced in three years because you trust nobody has a beneficiary. The panic switch from one fund to another on bad news runs through a brokerage that charges per transaction. Refusing to be advised does not make you incentive-free. It just makes the incentive invisible.

There is a second problem with the cynical response. An incentive tells you the direction of a bias, not whether the advice is wrong. Index fund providers have a vested interest in selling you passive investing. They earn more AUM when more people index. That incentive is real and present, and passive still beats most active funds net of fees over long periods. The incentive-aligned recommendation happens to be correct. Dismissing a claim because the source benefits from it is a logical error, not a form of rigour.

So the question is not “is this person biased?” Everyone is biased. The question is: which direction does the bias run?

The only filter that matters

Here is a more useful frame. For any source of financial advice, ask one thing: does this provider’s income go up when my capital grows?

If yes, the bias runs in your direction. Not perfectly, not without qualification, but in the same broad direction as your interest. If no — if their income is fixed per transaction, fixed per product sold, or decoupled from your returns entirely — the bias runs against you by design. They do not need your capital to grow to get paid. They just need you to act.

Applied seriously, this filter does significant work.

It knocks out almost everything sold on commission: the distributor earning upfront load or trail on a product they selected, the insurance agent earning 20–30% first-year commission on a ULIP, the broker whose revenue is proportional to your turnover. These structures do not require bad intent. The people operating inside them are often genuinely trying to help. But the architecture of the payoff means that when your interest and theirs diverge — and they will diverge — the incentive points away from you.

It keeps some things. The low-cost passive fund is the clearest case. The AMC earns more when your NAV compounds. Their cheapest product is also their most competitive product, and the incentive to keep costs low is structural, not optional.

But the filter gets more interesting on the hard cases — the ones where the bias is present but not obviously pointed against you.

The hard cases

Take the fee-only SEBI-registered investment adviser. No trail, no commission, no product conflict. This sounds clean. But the RIA still sits on a payoff structure, and it depends on the fee model. A flat annual retainer creates an incentive to retain you — which may mean avoiding advice that leads you toward a simpler or cheaper solution. A 1% of AUM fee creates an incentive to grow your AUM, which may mean nudging you toward higher-risk assets than are appropriate. Neither is as misaligned as a commission structure, but neither is neutral. The question is still: what does this person earn, and when do they earn more of it?

Free financial content is the hardest case because the misalignment is the least visible. A newsletter, YouTube channel, or Twitter account costs nothing to consume. That price signal tells you nothing about the payoff structure behind it. Free content is almost always a funnel — the income is advertising, course sales, or affiliate commission on products discussed. The bias direction depends entirely on what is being sold downstream, which the reader often cannot see at the point of consumption. The content that recommends a particular broker, platform, or fund category may be correct. It may also be affiliate-linked. The two are not mutually exclusive, but only one of them is disclosed.

The PMS category is where the analysis becomes genuinely interesting, because it has three distinct structures that look similar from the outside but are meaningfully different in what they ask of the manager.

The first is a flat management fee — typically 1.5 to 2% of AUM per annum regardless of performance. The manager is aligned on AUM: they want your capital to stay and grow because that is what the fee is calculated on. But they are not aligned on returns specifically. A portfolio that returns 8% and a portfolio that returns 18% generate the same fee. This is better than a transaction-based structure, but it is not alignment. It is AUM retention with a performance-neutral payoff.

The second is a fixed fee plus a simple performance fee above a hurdle rate. This looks better — the manager now earns more when returns exceed a threshold — but the structure has a known flaw. If the manager has a bad year and the NAV falls below the hurdle, they only need to recover the nominal NAV to start earning carry again. They do not need to make up the opportunity cost of the underperformance. A year of 10% underperformance followed by a year of 12% returns triggers the carry, even though the investor is still behind where they should have been. The incentive to take outsized risk to recover quickly is real.

The third structure solves this: a fixed fee plus a performance fee above a compounded hurdle, with a high-water mark. Under this structure, the manager must clear not just a nominal threshold but the compounded growth of the hurdle rate from the high-water mark. If the hurdle is 6% and the portfolio underperforms by 5% in year one, the manager has to grow the NAV to where it would have been had it compounded at 6% throughout — before earning a single rupee of carry. A run of bad years builds a compounding deficit that must be recovered in full. The manager cannot simply wait for a good year to reset the clock.

This is the closest thing to genuine alignment available to an investor in the Indian PMS market. It is not perfect — the manager still does not share in capital losses, only in gains — but the incentive to generate real returns above a meaningful benchmark is structural and not easily gamed. When evaluating a PMS, the fee structure question is not just “do they charge a performance fee.” It is whether the hurdle compounds and whether the high-water mark enforces it.

The payoff map

The table below maps the main providers of financial advice in India against their primary income source and the direction of the resulting bias. It is not a verdict on individuals. It is a map of the architecture.

Provider Primary income Alignment
Commission-based
Mutual fund distributor
Trail commission (% of AUM)
Misaligned
Maximise AUM; product selection driven by trail rate, not suitability
Insurance agent
Upfront + renewal commission
Misaligned
Incentive to sell highest-commission product
Discount broker
Brokerage per trade
Misaligned
Revenue is proportional to your turnover
Fee-based
SEBI RIA (fee-only)
Fixed retainer or % of AUM
Partial
Depends on fee model; check if retainer is cancellable
PMS
Fixed fee only
% of AUM, no performance link
Partial
Aligned on AUM retention; indifferent to returns
Fixed + simple performance fee
Fixed + carry above nominal hurdle
Partial
Better, but incentive to take risk after a bad year
Fixed + performance fee, compounded hurdle + HWM
Carry above compounded hurdle from high-water mark
Most aligned
Deficit compounds until recovered; cannot reset with one good year
Passive and content
Low-cost index fund AMC
% of AUM
Aligned
Cheapest product is also the most competitive; costs are structural
Free financial content
Ads, course sales, affiliate
Check downstream
Bias direction depends on what is being sold; rarely disclosed

Verdicts are directional, not categorical. The payoff structure is a prior on where the pressure on advice comes from — not a sentence on any individual operating within it.

The verdicts are directional, not categorical. A distributor with a long track record of recommending direct plans over regular plans has demonstrated they are operating against their own financial interest. That is meaningful. The payoff structure is a prior, not a sentence.

What this changes

The standard advice on navigating conflicts of interest is to find an unbiased source. That advice is useless because no such source exists. Everyone advising you on money sits somewhere on a payoff structure that shapes what they say.

The more useful version: map the structure before you map the recommendation. Understand what the advisor earns, when they earn it, and whether it goes up when your capital goes up. That tells you where the pressure on the advice is coming from. It does not tell you the advice is wrong — but it tells you where to apply the most scrutiny.

Most people evaluate financial advice by asking whether it sounds credible. A more effective question is whether the person giving it would benefit from being wrong.


Disclosure: the author is Co-Founder and Portfolio Manager at East Green Advisors, a SEBI-registered PMS that charges a fixed fee plus a performance fee above a compounded hurdle with a high-water mark.

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Pratik

Quant portfolio manager with a decade in systematic investing. Writing about markets and money for investors who think before they act.